The year 2008 has been unkind to investors so far. Many have suffered huge losses. Who knows, there could be more pain ahead. It’s worth reminding ourselves of basic lessons that every retail investor ought to keep in mind to avoid, or at least minimise, losses in one’s portfolio.
1. High rewards don’t come without taking high risk.
During a bull market, retail investors get taken in by the rise in the stock market. They don’t want to be left out. So, they rush in and buy in an indiscriminate way, without realising that they might be taking on too much risk. Remember, if you chase high returns, high risk will follow you. Let’s take the example of publicly-listed real estate sector in India. The industry has a very favourable long-term future. However, the rapid rise in the sector’s stock prices over the past year made a short-term investment in these stocks a risky bet. As it turns out, the risks have been borne out and this sector has collapsed spectacularly. Understand your own risk profile and how you emotionally deal with volatility in stock prices.
2. Understand what you own — don’t always rely on the latest tip or prediction.
If you knew the secret location to some buried treasure, would you share it with others around you? If someone really has a hot tip on an investment that is going to earn high returns, always ask why they are sharing it with you. In today’s wired world, it is possible even for retail investors to understand, even if in basic ways, what is it that you are about to invest in — what does the company do, who its customers are, is the company profitable and so on. You must form your own view about the company’s prospects. Stay away from fast risers. The more you understand investments that you have made, the more confident you will become.
3. Leverage is a double-edged sword that can destroy you in falling markets.
The recent collapse of various hedge funds and banks has shown that living on borrowed money can be dangerous. During good times, leverage can amplify your returns. But in rough times, it can kill you. Currently, even the world’s best risk managers on Wall Street are having a tough time dealing with their leveraged exposure to markets. Be careful about making investments using leverage. Remember, nobody is going to flash an emergency light announcing the arrival of the next crisis.
4. Keep some of your powder dry — you don’t always need to be fully invested.
This is where the professionals really distinguish themselves from amateur retail investors, because they keep some cash available to take advantage of falling prices. Professionals think of a correction in stock prices as a sale in stocks. But to benefit from these sales, they keep some cash ready. They don’t feel the need to be fully invested all the time. If you use up all your cash to make your investments, you will never be able to take advantage of the cut price sales that will happen in times of severe correction like now. Corrections occur periodically — be prepared to take advantage of these situations.
5. Build portfolio on a strong foundation.
Just like you cannot build a house on a weak foundation, your stock portfolio also needs to be built on the back of strong companies and predictable stability. The more junk you have and poor quality stocks you own, the quicker your portfolio will also collapse during a correction. Weak companies with unfavourable long-term business prospects, weak balance sheets and poor operating performance might look tempting as they promise short-term growth. They may go up faster than the market in a bull phase, but come racing down at the slightest evidence of any stock market trouble.Build your portfolio on the back of stable, blue-chip companies that have long track records of success across economic conditions.
6. Keep a wishlist of companies.
Smart investors keep a wishlist of companies whose shares they want to buy when the opportunity and price are right. Corrections will give you the opportunity to pick through names. But, like we said in point 4 above, you need to have some dry powder to be able to add your wishlist to your portfolio. Warren Buffett has been known to keep his eye on his wishlist companies for decades before he finally finds a good entry point for an investment.
7. Invest for the long-term.
Serious investors put money to work for the long-term. They don’t get distracted by seasonal or cyclical fads, or get caught up in short-term performance. Don’t day trade, and especially not on margin. For every day trader who wins, there is another trader on the other side of the trade who has lost. In this speculative game, its likely that you will on average have as many bad days as good days. If you invest for the long-term, you will be less affected by all the noise in the market that will clutter your thinking and cause you to make impulsive and short-sighted decisions. You will also avoid the tax liability associated with short-term trading that can add more complexity to your finances.
It is never too late for serious investors who want to build long-term wealth to learn and apply the above lessons. With a little bit of discipline, your portfolio too can survive any stock market correction and achieve excellent long-term performance.
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